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Showing posts with label English Premier League. Show all posts
Showing posts with label English Premier League. Show all posts

Friday, May 10, 2013

Manchester United's Sloppy Seconds: David Moyes


Manchester United really took their time on this announcement. I mean within 5 days they had lined up and appointed their new manager, David Moyes. Sir Alex Ferguson (SAF) hand-picked his successor but for those fans believing this will be a seamless transition, don't bet on it. Manchester United hooked up with the first decent looking girl they saw, instead of talking to anyone else eyeing them at the bar. At least Moyes will have the benefit of an entire offseason to buy players, bring back players from loan and fully evaluate this team. 
A Premier League title would be the crowning achievement for almost any other club however, SAF has set the bar so high, with 13 EPL titles, 2 Champions League trophies, 5 FA Cups, 4 League Cups in 26 years. SAF averaged nearly 2 trophies per season including Community Shields (38) since winning his first trophy, a feat which will probably never be duplicated. Therein lies the problem for David Moyes, if he struggles at the beginning of his tenure (SAF did not win a trophy until his 4th year), will the fans stay behind him? You have to respect Liverpool in that regard, as Brendan Rodgers and his distinct philosophy are buoyed by the supporters even as the team produces mediocre results. 
MUFC are the Premier League champions of 2013, few would say that this team, which is petering to the finish line, is a finished product. Manchester United have rescued 28 points from losing positions home and away, can Moyes inspire United to success as SAF did? It's doubtful. Remember in 2011-2012, this team went trophyless and the natives (see reference) were restless (look at the poorest persons in the film "Annie" and that is your basic MUFC fan). But I digress. They purchased Shinji Kagawa to supplement Robin Van Persie's arrival last summer,  hoping their younger players (Cleverly, Powell, Welbeck, Anderson) would develop around these players. But Kagawa is no midfield maestro, in fact he looked out of place and often came off the bench when he was healthy and the rest hardly made an impact. In fact, they were so desperate that they actually brought back Scholes from retirement and continue to play Giggs in important fixtures. Their pedestrian midfield did not offer the creativity, making them a predictable albeit effective machine, which is why they were limited to one trophy this year. The one bright spot in MF was Michael Carrick, whose overall game grew by leaps and bounds.



David Moyes
David Moyes Premier League gamesDavid Moyes has been in charge of Everton for more games (11 years)than any other manager not to win a trophy at the club. Everton, historically are a MAJOR club in the premier league, a quick glance at their trophy haul (namely 8 EPL titles and 5 FA Cups) speaks volumes. However, taking over from the relegation-threatened Merseyside club in 2002, and with limited resources in comparison to the majority of the clubs who have won the trophies during his tenure, Moyes is considered to have done a good job. Moyes' overall record should ring the alarm bells for any Manchester United fan, because an average of 11 losses and 10 draws per year equals 53 dropped points a year.

Moyes record against the top 4 teams:
David Moyes record versus top 4

That is a record of 13-48-19 overall prior to 2012-2013 (top 4 haven't been determine yet). Awful. Taking a closer look at head to head matchups within the top 4, Arsenal's Arsene Wenger has a 14-3-5 record against Moyes. Jose Mourinho (Chelsea's next manager according to the press)?  His record is 4-0-2 against David Moyes head to head. Scary.

Transfer Dealings
There are many redeeming qualities to David Moyes, his longevity, positive attitude and ability to maximize the results for cash-strapped Board of Directors at Everton FC. He has spotted talents such as Steven Pienaar, Marouane Fellaini, Leyton Baines, Tim Everton, Kevin Mirallas and more. His bargain basement dealings suit him well for a team with issues financially; Manchester United isn't going to want Filene's Basement, they want Dolce & Gabbana. In other words, with an unlimited budget, where the premium is on top quality talent, can he still evaluate a player's worth?

Playing Style
Over the last two years, Everton has played the ball on the ground more and more. However, they are still a long-ball team who rely on Baines and Pienaar to reak havoc on the left and cross the ball to the likes of Fellaini, Anichebe and company. Unlike many great managers, David Moyes has no defined playing style often focusing on defense solidity and long balls and trying to quickly counter-attack opponents. His style has been compared to Stoke (by Steven Gerrard) as opposed to Barcelona. At Manchester United, that will only work against European giants in WINS, against any other team, they will want to see their team on the front foot. Moyes philosophy, or lack thereof, is too cautious to be appreciated by Manchester United. I do believe that SAF will help him balance his bruising style with the talent available at his disposal.

Potential Candidates
In short, Manchester United have passed on some stellar big-name managers to reward a coach who has performed admirably with an English club. They found a manager who has the intensity and work ethic but not the pedigree of a champion. I doubt their search reached past the countries borders. Manchester United, considered the most valuable brand in sports along with the New York Yankees, would have been better served at least approaching established European masterminds Gus Hiddink, Rafael Benitez, Manuel Pelligrini (who Manchester City are reportedly close to hiring), Jose Mourinho and/or Jurgen Klopp. By selecting a successor so quickly in his last act as manager of the club, SAF did them a serious disservice.


My Pick
My pick of the bunch? Jurgen Klopp: German Cup, German Supercup and 2-time Bundesliga (Germany) title winner. He has also been Germany's club manager of the year in 2011 and 2012. Tactically and technically proficient, he has guided a young Borussia Dortmund side to the Champions League final this year (beating Real Madrid who knocked out Manchester United). His transfer purchases have been astute and led to success on and off the field. In the case of Klopp, he has found top-class talent early, working with a mediocre budget and his team plays arguably the best football in the world. Oh and he is only 45 years old a virtual baby in the realm of football management.

I don't think many United fans would argue that Klopp is a better manager than Moyes, in every respect.

Wednesday, April 10, 2013

Who will finish in the top 4 of the English Premier League?

Manchester United is running away with the title despite the setback at home Monday night against Manchester City. MUFC are 12 points ahead with 7 games left. Manchester City are comfortably in second (7 points clear of 3rd place).

CLUBPWDLGDPTS
Man Utd3125243877
Man City3119843065


The best race in the EPL is the battle for the coveted 3rd and 4th place spots which automatically qualify a club for Champions League football next season. Lets take a look at the 3 major players for the 2 spots: Chelsea (3rd), Tottenham (4th) and Arsenal (5th).

Chelsea3117772858
Tottenham3217781558
Arsenal3116872756

Chelsea and Tottenham have the hardest upcoming EPL fixtures based on their opponents' league position. In addition, they are both playing games Thursday night in the Europa Lge. However, although Tottenham are level on points with Chelsea for third place, they have played one more game than Chelsea and Arsenal. The form table below indicates the hot clubs in the premier league over the last 6 games.

FORM TABLE: Last 6 EPL matches 
PWDLGFGADifPts
1Manchester Utd6501112+915
2Arsenal6501125+715
3Liverpool6411156+913
4Chelsea6402106+412
5Manchester City6402106+412
6Fulham632175+211
7Southampton6312108+210
8Everton631297+210
9Tottenham63121110+110


Lets go in order. Third place Chelsea won their first leg Europa Lge game against Rubin Kazan 3-1 and now must travel to Moscow for the second leg tomorrow night. In addition, Chelsea are in the semi-finals of the FA Cup and play at Wembley on Sunday against Manchester City with the winner advancing to the final (against EPL side Wigan or League 2 Millwall). The fixture pileup may tax the team for the stretch run especially if there are any more significant injuries or travel. In the English Premier League, Chelsea will have 3 games at home and 4 games on the road (including a derby game at Fulham, away to Manchester United and away to Liverpool). See the fixture list below, note that the April 14th match against Tottenham has to be rescheduled.

Notable injuries: Romeu (out for the season), Cahill (3-4 weeks), Cole (2 weeks), Bertrand (3-4 days)

Date
Home
Away



Apr 14
Chelsea
P – P Tottenham Hotspur
Apr 17
 Fulham
Chelsea
Apr 21
Liverpool
Chelsea
Apr 27
Chelsea
Swansea City
May 5
Manchester United
Chelsea
May 11
 Aston Villa
Chelsea
May 19
Chelsea
Everton


Tottenham drew 2-2 at home against Basel and must now go to Switzerland to play Basel away tomorrow night. I don't believe they will progress against Basel which may actually help them get 4th place in the EPL. A blessing in disguise. Their premier player, Gareth Bale is injured but to compound that Lennon their enigmatic winger is also hurt. Based on their lackluster performance at home against Everton, they need them both back to make a serious run. Tottenham have 3 home games and 3 road games left, including a huge "6-pointer" against Chelsea away and a difficult home game against Manchester City.

Notable injuries: Bale (2 weeks), Gallas (1 week), Lennon (1 week), Kaboul (1 week), Gomes (season)


Date
Home
Away



Apr 14
Chelsea
P – P Tottenham Hotspur
Apr 21
Tottenham
Manchester City
Apr 27
Wigan
Tottenham
May 4
Tottenham
Southampton
May 12
 Stoke City
Tottenham
May 19
Tottenham
Sunderland


Arsenal have won 6 out of 7 games in the EPL and their run of form is bearing fruits. The ides of March have not been kind to Arsenal fans in recent years. The month is often a demarcation point of their failings in all competitions; their only solace being that they can focus on Champions League qualification without any distractions. Considering they have put themselves in this position with Rosicky deputising for Wilshere and it is all the more impressive.

Notable injuries: Wilshere (1-2 weeks), Walcott (3-4 days), Diaby (season), Szczeny (mental health)


Date
Home
Away



Apr 13
Arsenal
Norwich City
Apr 16
Arsenal
Everton
Apr 20
Fulham
Arsenal
Apr 28
Arsenal
Manchester United
May 4
QPR
Arsenal
May 12
Arsenal
Wigan
May 19
Newcastle
Arsenal


Prediction
There are no easy games in the EPL, especially when teams in the relegation fight are battling to stay up. However, Arsenal's fresh legs, promising schedule (4 home games and 3 road games against the likes of QPR and Fulham), in addition to their recent run of form, I would be hard pressed to pick against them breaking into the top 4. History is also on their side as they have not missed out on Champions Lge football since Arsene Wenger became manager. Tottenham have made late season slides a bad habit and without their talisman Gareth Bale at full strength, I cannot see them finishing in the top 4. Chelsea will still need to win their remaining games including against Tottenham at home to maintain our current position and keep Arsenal at bay.

Final Projection:
3.Chelsea
4.Arsenal
5.Tottenham

Sunday, March 3, 2013

Arsenal vs. Tottenham

The North London derby is considered one of the best games in the EPL each year because there are loads of goals, open end-to-end action and energy from the players. I really am trying to be objective BUT reveling in Arsenal's misery is so fun! LOL. Arsenal started the game brightly in a hostile environment but without a clinical finisher combined with SHAMBOLIC defending and Tottenham has jumped out to a 2-0 halftime lead. The scariest part is that even though Bale has scored he has not impacted the game!

My question for Arsenal is how can you play a high line with the fastest team in the premiership? Gareth Bale and Aaron Lennon who were quiet during the first 36 minutes, the strike with two IDENTICAL diagonal runs led to two goals in a 4 minute span before halftime (SzczÄ™sny (the GK) needs to take his share of the blame as he was out too far and was beaten far too easily on both goals)).  Mertesacker who just scored is a SLOOOOW centerback but he has managed to pull Arsenal back in the game. Don't get me started on Ramsey, he should not be starting maybe they feel pressure to play him since he just signed a long-term deal. 

Second half: The game was simmering before but now it has come to a boil. Although the stadium looks big on TV, the pitch size is below average in comparison with other EPL teams and it only holds about 36k fans. Adebayor went off injured which could prove costly for Tottenham as the fixture list piles up. The last 10 minutes of this game has been boring for a neutral but Ramsey had a great opportunity to score the equalizer but his finishing is awful yet again. How many times this season is Wenger going to start Ramsey when he has lost all form and confidence? Arsenal players and their fans just do not believe they can win big games, 8 trophyless seasons and their squad's best players has taken its toll on them mentally. Dembele has gone off injured so Spurs are getting thinner and thinner before some major upcoming fixtures. Podolski, the German international, has given Arsenal a boost in the last 20 minutes but as a substitute his touch is a bit off. Referee indicates six minutes of added time (Dembele and Adebayor injuries). However, other than Lloris punching away a decent cross from Arsenal, the extra time was largely uneventful. 

Tottenham wins 2-1! They take 3rd position in the EPL while Arsenal are 5th (5 points behind Chelsea). A huge swing in the race for the top 4 (which Wenger once referred to as another trophy). A far cry from the 5-2 away loss at Arsenal in November, when Adebayor was red-carded for a rash challenge in the 17th minute. In that game, Tottenham was leading 1-0 and looked most likely to score the second. They were then punished by giving away two goals before halftime which effectively ended any hope of Tottenham getting a result.

Looking forward, Tottenham have Inter Milan at home, then Liverpool away and Inter Milan away in the next 11 days. The last time Tottenham played Inter it was in the Champions League group stage, they were losing 4-0 at the San Siro when Gareth Bale introduced himself to the world with 3 second half goals (infamously torching Maicon with his incredible pace) to nearly snatch a draw. Arsenal, on the other hand, have a whopping 10 days off before their next game against Bayern Munich away (1-3 aggregate). In their last game at home against Bayern, they looked completely out of their element and were outclassed during the majority of the 90 minutes. I can't see them progressing with the second leg in Munich.

Happy Sunday! #NLDerby